Prato vs Ternana: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato
The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ternana. The most likely score is 1-1. If Prato wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,997 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prato vs Ternana?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Prato (1,889) and Ternana (1,914).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Prato vs Ternana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Prato
Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Ternana have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 5-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Prato win, 0 draws, 0 Ternana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Prato 1-0 Ternana | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prato | 1.7 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ternana | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Prato vs Ternana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prato vs Ternana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ternana.
- Where and when is Prato vs Ternana played?
- Prato vs Ternana is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Coppa Italia Serie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.