Mogi Mirim vs Duque de Caxias: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 1Kick-off on June 1, 2013 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Vail Chaves, Mogi Mirim, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Mogi Mirim vs Duque de Caxias?
Mogi Mirim won 3-2 on June 1, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 3′Paulo Rogerio Rodrigues NicomedesDuque de Caxias
- 4′AloísioMogi Mirim
- 34′Emanuel Vilanei Fernandes de SouzaMogi Mirim (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Mogi Mirim have 5 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2012 | CRAC(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 30, 2012 | CRAC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Cianorte(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Cianorte(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Metropolitano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2012 | Icasa(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Nov 1, 2012 | Icasa(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Caxias(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Santo André(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Macaé(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Mogi Mirim score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 14; Duque de Caxias score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogi Mirim | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/14 | 7/14 |
| Duque de Caxias | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy