Mogi Mirim vs Duque de Caxias: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie CMatchday 1Kick-off on June 1, 2013 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Vail Chaves, Mogi Mirim, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Mogi Mirim vs Duque de Caxias?
Mogi Mirim won 3-2 on June 1, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 3′Paulo Rogerio Rodrigues NicomedesDuque de Caxias
- 4′AloísioMogi Mirim
- 34′Emanuel Vilanei Fernandes de SouzaMogi Mirim (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Mogi Mirim have 5 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2012 | CRAC(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 30, 2012 | CRAC(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Cianorte(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Cianorte(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Metropolitano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2012 | Icasa(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Nov 1, 2012 | Icasa(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Caxias(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Santo André(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Macaé(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Mogi Mirim score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 14; Duque de Caxias score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogi Mirim | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/14 | 7/14 |
| Duque de Caxias | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy