Vila Nova vs Grêmio Barueri: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 1Kick-off on June 2, 2013 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiânia, Goiás
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What was the result of Vila Nova vs Grêmio Barueri?
Vila Nova won 3-1 on June 2, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 15′Thiago Esmerindo de Souza de BritoGrêmio Barueri
- 32′Marco Aurélio IubelVila Nova
- 45′HyantonyVila Nova
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vila Nova have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Grêmio Barueri have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2012 | Brasiliense(away) | 2-4 | Serie C |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Macaé(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Madureira(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Oct 5, 2012 | Caxias(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Tupi(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Avai(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Goias(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Ceara(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 2, 2012 | CRB(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vila Nova score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grêmio Barueri score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Grêmio Barueri | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy