Mogi Mirim vs Guaratinguetá: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 1Kick-off on April 27, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Vail Chaves, Mogi Mirim, São Paulo
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What was the result of Mogi Mirim vs Guaratinguetá?
Mogi Mirim won 1-0 on April 27, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 33′Everton HelenoMogi Mirim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mogi Mirim have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Ipatinga(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Macaé(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Madureira(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 21, 2013 | CRAC(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Grêmio Barueri(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Parana(home) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Nov 15, 2013 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 12, 2013 | ASA(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Figueirense(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Mogi Mirim score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guaratinguetá score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogi Mirim | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Guaratinguetá | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy