Mogi Mirim vs Guaratinguetá: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 1Kick-off on April 27, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Vail Chaves, Mogi Mirim, São Paulo
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What was the result of Mogi Mirim vs Guaratinguetá?
Mogi Mirim won 1-0 on April 27, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 33′Everton HelenoMogi Mirim
Official lineup for Mogi Mirim vs Guaratinguetá
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Mogi Mirim
- MMagal
- VVitor Xavier de Campos Humeni
- JJunior Silva Santos
- MMaycon Lucas
- EEverton Heleno
- SSerginho
- LLeonardo de Jesus Geraldo
- JJosé Valdir Firmo de Lima
- FFábio Sanches
- WWagner Silva
- AAndre Luiz
Guaratinguetá
- MMarquinho
- YYtalo
- AAndré Castro
- FFrancis José da Silva
- CCarlos Magno
- CCamacho
- RRafinha
- MMatheuzinho
- JJoão Paulo
- LLeandro Nunes Velicka
- FFelipe Alves
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mogi Mirim have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Ipatinga(away) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Macaé(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Madureira(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 21, 2013 | CRAC(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 14, 2013 | Grêmio Barueri(away) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2013 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Parana(home) | 3-4 | Serie B |
| Nov 15, 2013 | Ceara(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 12, 2013 | ASA(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2013 | Figueirense(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Mogi Mirim score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Guaratinguetá score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogi Mirim | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Guaratinguetá | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy