Mogren vs Rudar: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lugovi, Budva
The Footlab model makes Mogren the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Rudar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mogren vs Rudar?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Mogren (1,330) and Rudar (1,306).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Mogren have 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Rudar have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grbalj(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kom(away) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Jul 19, 2011 | Litex(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 12, 2011 | Litex(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zeta(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iskra(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Brskovo(home) | 5-0 | Second League |
| May 29, 2026 | Brskovo(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| May 24, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mogren score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 4; Rudar score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogren | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
| Rudar | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mogren sit 4th in Second League (3 points from 2 matches) and Rudar sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mogren | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Rudar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mogren vs Rudar?
- The Footlab model makes Mogren the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Rudar.
- Where and when is Mogren vs Rudar played?
- Mogren vs Rudar is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lugovi, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.