Mogren vs Rudar: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lugovi, Budva
The Footlab AI model makes Mogren the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Rudar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mogren wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mogren vs Rudar?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Mogren (1,299) and Rudar (1,314).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mogren vs Rudar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mogren
4-3-3- IIgor Matić
- VVladimir Gluscevic
- LL. Đorđević
- DDanilo Culafic
- AAndrija Mirković
- DD. Božović
- JJanko Simović
- AA. Kapisoda
- RRadoslav Batak
- BBojan Ivanovic
- NNemanja Šćekić
Rudar
Not enough data to predict the Rudar lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Mogren have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rudar have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grbalj(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kom(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Lovćen(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Jedinstvo(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Mladost Lješkopolje(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Zeta(home) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Berane(home) | 4-0 | Second League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grbalj(away) | 1-3 | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kom(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mogren score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 11; Rudar score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mogren | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1 | 8/11 | 7/11 |
| Rudar | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mogren sit 9th in Second League (10 points from 11 matches) and Rudar sit 8th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rudar | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Mogren | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Mogren vs Rudar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mogren vs Rudar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mogren the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Rudar.
- Where and when is Mogren vs Rudar played?
- Mogren vs Rudar is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lugovi, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.