Mold Alexandra vs Guilsfield: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Alyn Park, Mold, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Guilsfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mold Alexandra vs Guilsfield?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Mold Alexandra (1,625) and Guilsfield (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mold Alexandra have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Guilsfield have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Mountain(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ruthin Town(home) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rhyl(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 4-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mold Alexandra win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Guilsfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Guilsfield 3-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Guilsfield 1-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Mold Alexandra 0-0 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Guilsfield 3-0 Mold Alexandra | League Cup |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Mold Alexandra 0-1 Guilsfield | FAW Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Guilsfield 1-2 Mold Alexandra | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mold Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guilsfield score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mold Alexandra | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Guilsfield | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mold Alexandra sit 6th in FAW Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Guilsfield sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mold Alexandra | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Guilsfield | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mold Alexandra vs Guilsfield?
- The Footlab model makes Mold Alexandra the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Guilsfield.
- Where and when is Mold Alexandra vs Guilsfield played?
- Mold Alexandra vs Guilsfield is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Alyn Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.