Rhyl vs Porthmadog: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)The Educate Group Stadium, Y Rhyl / Rhyl, Denbighshire
The Footlab model makes Rhyl the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Porthmadog. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rhyl vs Porthmadog?
Rhyl starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,619 vs 1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rhyl have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Porthmadog have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caersws(home) | 4-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Porthmadog(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Rhyl(home) | 1-2 | Welsh Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Rhyl win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Porthmadog win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Porthmadog 1-0 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Porthmadog 1-2 Rhyl | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Porthmadog 0-1 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Rhyl score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyl | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Porthmadog | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rhyl sit 8th in FAW Championship (5 points from 4 matches) and Porthmadog sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Porthmadog | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Rhyl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rhyl vs Porthmadog?
- The Footlab model makes Rhyl the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Porthmadog.
- Where and when is Rhyl vs Porthmadog played?
- Rhyl vs Porthmadog is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at The Educate Group Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.