Rhyl vs Porthmadog: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)The Educate Group Stadium, Y Rhyl / Rhyl, Denbighshire
The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Rhyl. The most likely score is 1-1. If Porthmadog wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rhyl vs Porthmadog?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Rhyl (1,648) and Porthmadog (1,599).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rhyl vs Porthmadog
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rhyl
4-3-3- 9J. Parry
- 11A. Jones
- AAaron Hassall
- 8B. Lightfoot
- 7M. Murray
- 2B. Lawrence
- 5Mohamud Ali Mohamed
- 3B. Holmes
- 5R. Fairhurst
- RReece Fairhurst
- 1A. Swindell
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rhyl have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Porthmadog have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ruthin Town(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Rhyl wins, 0 draws, 1 Porthmadog win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Porthmadog 1-0 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Porthmadog 1-2 Rhyl | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Porthmadog 0-1 Rhyl | FAW Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Rhyl score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyl | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Porthmadog | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rhyl sit 11th in FAW Championship (11 points from 11 matches) and Porthmadog sit 3rd (23 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 23 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 11 |
A question about Rhyl vs Porthmadog?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rhyl vs Porthmadog?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Rhyl.
- Where and when is Rhyl vs Porthmadog played?
- Rhyl vs Porthmadog is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at The Educate Group Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.