Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Gresford Athletic. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,739 vs 1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newtown AFC
Not enough data to predict the Newtown AFC lineup.
Gresford Athletic
Not enough data to predict the Gresford Athletic lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gresford Athletic have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Denbigh Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Porthmadog(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rhyl(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(home) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Newtown AFC wins, 0 draws, 1 Gresford Athletic win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gresford Athletic 0-3 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Newtown AFC 0-5 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Gresford Athletic 1-2 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Newtown AFC 3-0 Gresford Athletic | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gresford Athletic vs Newtown AFC on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gresford Athletic score 0.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Gresford Athletic | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 2nd in FAW Championship (23 points from 10 matches) and Gresford Athletic sit 15th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 23 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 7 |
A question about Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Gresford Athletic.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic played?
- Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.