Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)G.F. Grigg Latham Park, Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys
The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Gresford Athletic. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
Newtown AFC starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,649 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newtown AFC have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Gresford Athletic have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guilsfield(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penrhyncoch(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Newtown AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gresford Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gresford Athletic 0-3 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Newtown AFC 0-5 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Gresford Athletic 1-2 Newtown AFC | FAW Championship |
| Jun 30, 2023 | Newtown AFC 3-0 Gresford Athletic | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gresford Athletic vs Newtown AFC on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Newtown AFC score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gresford Athletic score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newtown AFC | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Gresford Athletic | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newtown AFC sit 5th in FAW Championship (7 points from 3 matches) and Gresford Athletic sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Newtown AFC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 16 | Gresford Athletic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Newtown AFC the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Gresford Athletic.
- Where and when is Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic played?
- Newtown AFC vs Gresford Athletic is played on April 17, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at G.F. Grigg Latham Park, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.