Molde II vs Orkla: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Aker Stadion, Molde
The Footlab model makes Molde II the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Orkla. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Molde II vs Orkla?
Molde II starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,565 vs 1,433).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Molde II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Orkla have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kvik Trondheim(home) | 6-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Nardo(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Byåsen(home) | 6-6 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Orkla(away) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spjelkavik(home) | 2-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Melhus(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Rosenborg II(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Aalesund II(away) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Molde II(home) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Molde II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Orkla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Orkla 3-5 Molde II | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Oct 12, 2021 | Molde II 4-1 Orkla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Molde II score 2.9 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Orkla score 1.8 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde II | 2.9 | 3.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
| Orkla | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Molde II sit 8th in 3. Division - Girone 2 (12 points from 9 matches) and Orkla sit 10th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Molde II | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 46 | 48 | 22 |
| 8 | Molde II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 25 | 12 |
| 10 | Orkla | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | Orkla | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 47 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Molde II vs Orkla?
- The Footlab model makes Molde II the favourite at 68%, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Orkla.
- Where and when is Molde II vs Orkla played?
- Molde II vs Orkla is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Aker Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.