Monaco vs Nice: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis-II, Monaco
The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Nice. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monaco wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monaco vs Nice?
Monaco starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,154 vs 1,976).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Monaco vs Nice
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Monaco
4-2-3-1- 11M. Abline
- 8L. Camara
- 6D. Zakaria
- 10A. Golovin
- 37E. Diop
- 7M. Detourbet
- 15E. Dier
- 72Sadibou Sané
- 2Vanderson
- 20Flávio Nazinho
- 1L. Hrádecký
Nice
3-4-2-1- 11E. Wahi
- 92J. Clauss
- 39D. Coulibaly
- 28A. Witsel
- 7G. Hein
- 27N. Nkounkou
- 9M. Amoura
- 55Y. Ndayishimiye
- 35X. Mandza Tsiendi
- 5Mohamed Abdelmonem
- 23Y. Diouf
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monaco have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Nice have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lille(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Mans(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Monaco wins, 2 draws, 2 Nice wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Nice 0-0 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Monaco 2-2 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Monaco 2-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Nice 2-1 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Nice 2-3 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Monaco 0-1 Nice | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Monaco score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nice score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Nice | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monaco sit 1st in Ligue 1 (14 points from 6 matches) and Nice sit 9th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Monaco vs Nice?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monaco vs Nice?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Nice.
- Where and when is Monaco vs Nice played?
- Monaco vs Nice is played on January 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis-II, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.