Match

Lens vs Paris Saint Germain: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

LensParis Saint Germain

The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Lens. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paris Saint Germain wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?

Paris Saint Germain starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (2,351 vs 2,188).

25%23%52%
Lens winDrawParis Saint Germain win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lens vs Paris Saint Germain

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lens

3-4-2-1
  1. 11O. Édouard
  1. 10F. Thauvin
  2. 14M. Udol
  3. 27M. Cuisance
  4. 2R. Aguilar
  5. 8Y. Titraoui
  6. 21A. Haidara
  1. 32K. Antonio
  2. 25I. Ganiou
  3. 24J. Gradit
  1. 40R. Risser

Paris Saint Germain

4-3-3
  1. 11M. Akliouche
  2. 10O. Dembélé
  3. 9Ferran Torres
  1. 87João Neves
  2. 17Vitinha
  3. 33W. Zaïre-Emery
  1. 2A. Hakimi
  2. 51W. Pacho
  3. 5Marquinhos
  4. 25Nuno Mendes
  1. 39M. Safonov

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:37 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lens have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Paris Saint Germain have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lens
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Sporting CP(home)0-2UEFA Champions League
Oct 9, 2026Lyon(home)2-1Ligue 1
Sep 18, 2026Monaco(away)1-2Ligue 1
Sep 13, 2026Le Mans(away)2-2Ligue 1
Sep 10, 2026Slavia Praha(away)3-2UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Manchester City(away)4-2UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Le Mans(home)3-1Ligue 1
Sep 20, 2026Marseille(away)2-1Ligue 1
Sep 13, 2026Stade Brestois 29(away)1-0Ligue 1
Sep 9, 2026Slovan Bratislava(home)6-1UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lens win, 1 draw, 4 Paris Saint Germain wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Lens 1-0 Paris Saint GermainTrophée des Champions
May 13, 2026Lens 0-2 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Sep 14, 2025Paris Saint Germain 2-0 LensLigue 1
Jan 18, 2025Lens 1-2 Paris Saint GermainLigue 1
Dec 22, 2024Lens 1-1 Paris Saint GermainCoupe de France
Nov 2, 2024Paris Saint Germain 1-0 LensLigue 1

Last archived meeting: Lens vs Paris Saint Germain on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lens score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Paris Saint Germain score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lens1.81.339/1510/15
Paris Saint Germain1.91.3211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lens sit 10th in Ligue 1 (7 points from 6 matches) and Paris Saint Germain sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Paris Saint Germain632111811
10Lens621311107

A question about Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lens vs Paris Saint Germain?
The Footlab AI model makes Paris Saint Germain the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Lens.
Where and when is Lens vs Paris Saint Germain played?
Lens vs Paris Saint Germain is played on January 3, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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