Monaco vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis-II, Monaco
The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1. If Monaco wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monaco vs Stade Brestois 29?
Monaco starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (2,186 vs 2,001).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Monaco vs Stade Brestois 29
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Monaco
4-2-3-1- 11M. Abline
- 8L. Camara
- 6D. Zakaria
- 10A. Golovin
- 18T. Minamino
- 31Ansu Fati
- 72Sadibou Sané
- 2Vanderson
- 20Flávio Nazinho
- 22M. Salisu
- 1L. Hrádecký
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 9P. Mboup
- 17Mama Baldé
- 2B. Locko
- 4G. Lloris
- 70K. Lala
- 29L. Tousart
- 1E. Selvik
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monaco have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Lens(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Strasbourg(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lille(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Angers(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Monaco wins, 0 draws, 2 Stade Brestois 29 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Monaco 2-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 1-0 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 2-1 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Monaco 3-2 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 0-2 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Monaco 2-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Monaco vs Stade Brestois 29 on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Monaco score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monaco sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (14 points from 6 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 9th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Monaco vs Stade Brestois 29?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monaco vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab AI model makes Monaco the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Monaco vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Monaco vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on January 16, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis-II, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.