Mons Calpe vs Lincoln Red Imps FC: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Lincoln Red Imps FC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Mons Calpe. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mons Calpe vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?
Lincoln Red Imps FC is a heavy favourite: 1,737 Elo points against 1,362 — a 376-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mons Calpe have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Lincoln Red Imps FC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Europa(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mons Calpe win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Lincoln Red Imps FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 2-1 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Mons Calpe 0-5 Lincoln Red Imps FC | Rock Cup |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 3-0 Mons Calpe | Premier Division |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Mons Calpe 0-3 Lincoln Red Imps FC | Premier Division |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Lincoln Red Imps FC 3-0 Mons Calpe | Rock Cup |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Mons Calpe 0-3 Lincoln Red Imps FC | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Mons Calpe on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mons Calpe score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lincoln Red Imps FC score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mons Calpe | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mons Calpe sit 4th in Premier Division (55 points from 27 matches) and Lincoln Red Imps FC sit 1st (72 points from 27 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 27 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 89 | 17 | 72 |
| 4 | Mons Calpe | 27 | 18 | 0 | 8 | 66 | 35 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mons Calpe vs Lincoln Red Imps FC?
- The Footlab model makes Lincoln Red Imps FC the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Mons Calpe.
- Where and when is Mons Calpe vs Lincoln Red Imps FC played?
- Mons Calpe vs Lincoln Red Imps FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.