Magpies vs Hound Dogs: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Hound Dogs. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Magpies vs Hound Dogs?
Magpies starts as the favourite with a 268-point Elo edge (1,334 vs 1,067).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Magpies have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hound Dogs have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 0-0 | Rock Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | College 1975(home) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-5 | Premier Division |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Europa(away) | 0-6 | Premier Division |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 0-2 | Rock Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Magpies win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hound Dogs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs 0-0 Magpies | Rock Cup |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Hound Dogs 0-3 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Magpies 1-0 Hound Dogs | Premier Division |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Magpies 17-0 Hound Dogs | Rock Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Magpies score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hound Dogs score 0.3 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magpies | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Hound Dogs | 0.3 | 3.1 | 1 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Magpies sit 4th in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Hound Dogs sit 5th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Hound Dogs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Magpies vs Hound Dogs?
- The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Hound Dogs.
- Where and when is Magpies vs Hound Dogs played?
- Magpies vs Hound Dogs is played on September 11, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.