Lynx vs Magpies: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Lynx. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lynx vs Magpies?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Lynx (1,258) and Magpies (1,335).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lynx have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Magpies have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Europa Point(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 1-4 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(home) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 2-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 1-1 | Premier Division |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(home) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Europa Point(away) | 3-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Lynx(home) | 0-0 | Premier Division |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Hound Dogs(away) | 0-0 | Rock Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lynx win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Magpies win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Magpies 0-0 Lynx | Premier Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Magpies 1-3 Lynx | Premier Division |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Magpies 3-0 Lynx | Premier Division |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Lynx 0-3 Magpies | Premier Division |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Magpies 2-1 Lynx | Premier Division |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Lynx 1-0 Magpies | Premier Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lynx score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Magpies score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lynx | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Magpies | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lynx sit 2nd in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Magpies sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lynx | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | Magpies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lynx vs Magpies?
- The Footlab model makes Magpies the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Lynx.
- Where and when is Lynx vs Magpies played?
- Lynx vs Magpies is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.