Europa vs Europa Point: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Victoria Stadium, Gibraltar
The Footlab model makes Europa the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Europa Point. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Europa vs Europa Point?
Europa is a heavy favourite: 1,466 Elo points against 1,085 — a 381-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Europa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Europa Point have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glacis United(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Shkendija(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Shkendija(home) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Mons Calpe(home) | 4-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lincoln Red Imps FC(away) | 0-2 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lynx(away) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Mar 3, 2026 | St Joseph S Fc(home) | 0-7 | Premier Division |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Magpies(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Lions Gibraltar(away) | 0-4 | Rock Cup |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Mons Calpe(away) | 1-2 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Europa win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Europa Point win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Europa Point 0-3 Europa | Premier Division |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Europa 2-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Europa 3-0 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Europa Point 1-5 Europa | Premier Division |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Europa 0-1 Europa Point | Premier Division |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Europa 3-0 Europa Point | Rock Cup |
Last archived meeting: Europa Point vs Europa on Dec 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Europa score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Europa Point score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europa | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Europa Point | 1.6 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Europa sit 3rd in Premier Division (1 points from 1 matches) and Europa Point sit 4th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Europa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Europa Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Europa vs Europa Point?
- The Footlab model makes Europa the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Europa Point.
- Where and when is Europa vs Europa Point played?
- Europa vs Europa Point is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Victoria Stadium, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.