Montalegre vs Bragança: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group AGroup A - 18Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, Montalegre
The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Bragança. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,547 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montalegre vs Bragança?
On Elo ratings, Montalegre has 1,855 points and Bragança 1,925.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montalegre vs Bragança
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montalegre
4-3-3- NNuno Machado
- II. Boakye
- AAngola
- TTiago Luís
- CCarlos Moura
- HHélder Almeida
- ZZ. Ngom
- BBruno Rafael Antunes Ferreira
- EEdu Machado
- DDouglão
- BBruno Pio
Bragança
Not enough data to predict the Bragança lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montalegre have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Bragança have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bragança(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Maia Lidador(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SC Braga B(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montalegre(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celoricense(home) | 6-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Montalegre wins, 1 draw, 1 Bragança win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bragança 0-2 Montalegre | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Feb 20, 2021 | Montalegre 0-0 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Bragança 0-1 Montalegre | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Montalegre 1-0 Bragança | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 25, 2019 | Bragança 2-1 Montalegre | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Bragança vs Montalegre on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montalegre score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bragança score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montalegre | 0.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Bragança | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montalegre sit 5th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (9 points from 6 matches) and Bragança sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bragança | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Montalegre | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
A question about Montalegre vs Bragança?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montalegre vs Bragança?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montalegre the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Bragança.
- Where and when is Montalegre vs Bragança played?
- Montalegre vs Bragança is played on February 14, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Diogo Alves Vaz Pereira, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.