Montañesa vs Badalona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 19Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Montañesa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Badalona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañesa vs Badalona?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Montañesa (1,752) and Badalona (1,819).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montañesa vs Badalona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montañesa
Not enough data to predict the Montañesa lineup.
Badalona
Not enough data to predict the Badalona lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 11:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañesa have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Badalona have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | San Cristóbal(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tona(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Montañesa win, 1 draw, 1 Badalona win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Badalona 0-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Badalona 3-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Montañesa 0-0 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Badalona vs Montañesa on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montañesa score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Badalona score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañesa | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Badalona | 1.7 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montañesa sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (16 points from 9 matches) and Badalona sit 4th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montañesa | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Badalona | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Montañesa vs Badalona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañesa vs Badalona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Montañesa.
- Where and when is Montañesa vs Badalona played?
- Montañesa vs Badalona is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.