Badalona vs Vilassar Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Badalona, Badalona
The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Vilassar Mar. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
Badalona starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,685).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badalona vs Vilassar Mar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badalona
Not enough data to predict the Badalona lineup.
Vilassar Mar
Not enough data to predict the Vilassar Mar lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badalona have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Vilassar Mar have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tona(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Cristóbal(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Martinenc(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Badalona wins, 1 draw, 0 Vilassar Mar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vilassar Mar 0-2 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Badalona 0-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Vilassar Mar 1-2 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Vilassar Mar vs Badalona on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Badalona score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vilassar Mar score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badalona | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Vilassar Mar | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badalona sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 7 matches) and Vilassar Mar sit 18th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Badalona | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 11 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badalona vs Vilassar Mar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Vilassar Mar.
- Where and when is Badalona vs Vilassar Mar played?
- Badalona vs Vilassar Mar is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.