Montañesa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, Barcelona
The Footlab model makes Montañesa the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Cerdanyola del Vallès. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montañesa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Montañesa (1,714) and Cerdanyola del Vallès (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montañesa have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Cerdanyola del Vallès have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Vic(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Can Vidalet(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Peralada(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vic(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 4-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Montañesa win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Cerdanyola del Vallès win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Montañesa 1-1 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 0-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 4, 2025 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 3-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Montañesa 0-0 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Cerdanyola del Vallès 1-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Montañesa 2-0 Cerdanyola del Vallès | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Montañesa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montañesa score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerdanyola del Vallès score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montañesa | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Cerdanyola del Vallès | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montañesa sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (42 points from 34 matches) and Cerdanyola del Vallès sit 15th (34 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Montañesa | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 42 |
| 15 | Cerdanyola del Vallès | 34 | 6 | 17 | 12 | 40 | 53 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montañesa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès?
- The Footlab model makes Montañesa the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Cerdanyola del Vallès.
- Where and when is Montañesa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès played?
- Montañesa vs Cerdanyola del Vallès is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Nou Barris, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.