Badalona vs Atlètic Lleida: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Badalona, Badalona
The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Atlètic Lleida. The most likely score is 1-1. If Badalona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Badalona vs Atlètic Lleida?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Badalona (1,809) and Atlètic Lleida (1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Badalona vs Atlètic Lleida
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Badalona
Not enough data to predict the Badalona lineup.
Atlètic Lleida
4-3-3- 8Samson
- 10B. Garros
- 11Moró Sidibe
- 6Jordi Ortega
- 22Asier
- 14N. Sauret
- 20Joan Campins
- 24A. One
- 3D. Kone
- 12A. Boumenjal
- 1P. Torres
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Badalona have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Atlètic Lleida have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Vilanova(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tona(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Cristóbal(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mollerussa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Badalona wins, 1 draw, 0 Atlètic Lleida wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida 2-2 Badalona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Atlètic Lleida vs Badalona on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Badalona score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atlètic Lleida score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Badalona | 1.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlètic Lleida | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Badalona sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (11 points from 7 matches) and Atlètic Lleida sit 8th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Badalona | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 11 |
| 8 | Atlètic Lleida | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Badalona vs Atlètic Lleida?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Badalona vs Atlètic Lleida?
- The Footlab AI model makes Badalona the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Atlètic Lleida.
- Where and when is Badalona vs Atlètic Lleida played?
- Badalona vs Atlètic Lleida is played on February 28, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Badalona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.