Vilassar Mar vs Montañesa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, Vilassar de Mar
The Footlab AI model makes Vilassar Mar the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Montañesa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vilassar Mar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilassar Mar vs Montañesa?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Vilassar Mar (1,662) and Montañesa (1,759).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vilassar Mar vs Montañesa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vilassar Mar
Not enough data to predict the Vilassar Mar lineup.
Montañesa
Not enough data to predict the Montañesa lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilassar Mar have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Montañesa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Martinenc(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grama(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cerdanyola del Vallès(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vilassar Mar win, 2 draws, 3 Montañesa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Vilassar Mar 0-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Montañesa 2-2 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2025 | Montañesa 4-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Vilassar Mar 0-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Vilassar Mar 2-1 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Montañesa 1-0 Vilassar Mar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Vilassar Mar vs Montañesa on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vilassar Mar score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Montañesa score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilassar Mar | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Montañesa | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilassar Mar sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (4 points from 6 matches) and Montañesa sit 2nd (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Montañesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
| 18 | Vilassar Mar | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 4 |
A question about Vilassar Mar vs Montañesa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilassar Mar vs Montañesa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vilassar Mar the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Montañesa.
- Where and when is Vilassar Mar vs Montañesa played?
- Vilassar Mar vs Montañesa is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Xevi Ramon, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.