Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising: result 3-1 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 30, 2025 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, California
Full time
What was the result of Monterey Bay vs Phoenix Rising?
Monterey Bay won 3-1 on March 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′C. GuzmánMonterey Bay
- 17′R. CabralPhoenix Rising
- 64′A. RebollarMonterey Bay
- 73′A. SøjbergMonterey Bay
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monterey Bay have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Phoenix Rising have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Orange County SC(away) | 3-0 | USL Championship |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Inter San Francisco(home) | 4-0 | US Open Cup |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Oakland Roots(home) | 3-2 | USL Championship |
| Mar 9, 2025 | San Antonio(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Sacramento Republic(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Rhode Island(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Mar 16, 2025 | El Paso Locomotive(away) | 4-4 | USL Championship |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FC Tulsa(home) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Feb 10, 2025 | Charlotte(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 4, 2024 | New Mexico United(away) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Monterey Bay win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Phoenix Rising win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | Phoenix Rising 1-2 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Monterey Bay 1-0 Phoenix Rising | USL Championship |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Monterey Bay 0-2 Phoenix Rising | USL Championship |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Phoenix Rising 1-1 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
| Sep 22, 2022 | Monterey Bay 3-3 Phoenix Rising | USL Championship |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Phoenix Rising 4-2 Monterey Bay | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay on Oct 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Monterey Bay score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Phoenix Rising score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Phoenix Rising | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monterey Bay sit 12th in USL Championship (11 points from 13 matches) and Phoenix Rising sit 5th (17 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 26 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 11 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 40 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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