Match

Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi

Montevarchi CalcioFlaminia

The Footlab model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Flaminia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Montevarchi Calcio (1,692) and Flaminia (1,755).

Montevarchi Calcio win36 %
Draw30 %
Flaminia win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Flaminia have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montevarchi Calcio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Figline(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Prato(away)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Robur Siena(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Flaminia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Lazio(away)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Monastir(away)3-3Serie D - Girone G
May 3, 2026Montespaccato(away)4-2Serie D - Girone G
Apr 26, 2026Budoni(home)0-1Serie D - Girone G
Apr 19, 2026Nocerina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone G

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Montevarchi Calcio win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Flaminia win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 5, 2025Montevarchi Calcio 2-1 FlaminiaSerie D - Girone E
Sep 8, 2024Flaminia 2-2 Montevarchi CalcioSerie D - Girone E
Nov 17, 2019Montevarchi Calcio 2-2 FlaminiaSerie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia on Jan 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montevarchi Calcio0.70.3104/150/15
Flaminia1.61.449/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Montevarchi Calcio3410168283246

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia?
The Footlab model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Flaminia.
Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia played?
Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Montevarchi Calcio and Flaminia

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