Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 29Kick-off on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
The Footlab model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Flaminia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Montevarchi Calcio (1,692) and Flaminia (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Flaminia have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Figline(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Prato(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Monastir(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| May 3, 2026 | Montespaccato(away) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Montevarchi Calcio win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Flaminia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 2-1 Flaminia | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Flaminia 2-2 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Montevarchi Calcio 2-2 Flaminia | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia on Jan 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.7 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 0/15 |
| Flaminia | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Montevarchi Calcio | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia?
- The Footlab model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Flaminia.
- Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia played?
- Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia is played on March 25, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 25, 2027TernanavsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Mar 25, 2027LucchesevsGavorrano
- Mar 25, 2027Robur SienavsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Mar 25, 2027SeravezzavsGrassina
- Mar 25, 2027ScandiccivsMezzolara
- Mar 25, 2027ProgressovsTerranuova Traiana
- Mar 25, 2027Tau AltopasciovsPrato
- Mar 25, 2027RondinellavsSasso Marconi Zola