Match

Flaminia vs Lucchese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Turiddu Madami, Civita Castellana

FlaminiaLucchese

The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Lucchese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flaminia vs Lucchese?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Flaminia (1,755) and Lucchese (1,735).

Flaminia win44 %
Draw29 %
Lucchese win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flaminia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Lucchese have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flaminia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Lazio(away)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Monastir(away)3-3Serie D - Girone G
May 3, 2026Montespaccato(away)4-2Serie D - Girone G
Apr 26, 2026Budoni(home)0-1Serie D - Girone G
Apr 19, 2026Nocerina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone G
Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2025Sestri Levante(home)1-0Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
May 10, 2025Sestri Levante(away)1-2Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025Torres(home)3-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 23, 2025Arezzo(away)1-4Serie C - Girone B
Apr 13, 2025Vis Pesaro(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Flaminia1.61.449/157/15
Lucchese1.71.6411/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flaminia vs Lucchese?
The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Lucchese.
Where and when is Flaminia vs Lucchese played?
Flaminia vs Lucchese is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turiddu Madami, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Flaminia and Lucchese

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