Terranuova Traiana vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, Terranuova Bracciolini
The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 39%, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Montevarchi Calcio?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Terranuova Traiana (1,684) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Terranuova Traiana have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Figline(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Prato(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Terranuova Traiana win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Montevarchi Calcio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio 1-1 Terranuova Traiana | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Terranuova Traiana 1-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Terranuova Traiana 0-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Montevarchi Calcio 5-2 Terranuova Traiana | Serie D - Girone E |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Montevarchi Calcio 2-3 Terranuova Traiana | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Montevarchi Calcio vs Terranuova Traiana on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Terranuova Traiana score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terranuova Traiana | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.7 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 0/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Terranuova Traiana sit 7th in Serie D - Girone E (51 points from 34 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 51 |
| 9 | Montevarchi Calcio | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Terranuova Traiana vs Montevarchi Calcio?
- The Footlab model makes Terranuova Traiana the favourite at 39%, against 35% for a draw and 26% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Terranuova Traiana vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
- Terranuova Traiana vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.