Nantes vs Montpellier: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 30Kick-off on April 23, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, Nantes
The Footlab AI model makes Nantes the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Montpellier. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nantes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nantes vs Montpellier?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Nantes (1,890) and Montpellier (1,958).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nantes vs Montpellier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nantes
3-4-3- 27T. Robinet
- 8J. Lepenant
- 37I. Ganago
- 26R. Hachem
- 13F. Doucouré
- 28I. Sissoko
- 23W. Younoussa
- 5L. Perrin
- 4S. Sow
- 98K. Amian
- 1M. Dupé
Montpellier
4-2-3-1- 11M. Camara
- 18N. Pays
- 19N. Mukiele
- 5F. Tardieu
- 44T. Chennahi
- 40N. Vidal-Cartoux
- 15J. Laporte
- 17T. Sainte-Luce
- 27D. Meddah
- 58A. Sissoko
- 31S. Ngapandouetnbu
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nantes have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Montpellier have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reims(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sochaux(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Nancy(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Guingamp(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Grenoble(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | PAU(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Nantes wins, 1 draw, 1 Montpellier win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Nantes 3-0 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Montpellier 1-3 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Montpellier 1-1 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Nantes 2-0 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2023 | Nantes 0-3 Montpellier | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Montpellier 0-3 Nantes | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Nantes vs Montpellier on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nantes score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Montpellier score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Montpellier | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nantes sit 13th in Ligue 2 (8 points from 8 matches) and Montpellier sit 3rd (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 13 | Nantes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Nantes vs Montpellier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nantes vs Montpellier?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nantes the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Montpellier.
- Where and when is Nantes vs Montpellier played?
- Nantes vs Montpellier is played on April 23, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.