Montrose vs Ayr Utd: result 4-2 and analysis
Challenge Cup3rd RoundKick-off on September 24, 2022 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose
Full time
What was the result of Montrose vs Ayr Utd?
Montrose won 4-2 on September 24, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 17′M. GardyneMontrose
- 51′S. WarnockAyr Utd
- 66′S. WarnockAyr Utd (pen.)
- 74′C. BrownMontrose
- 81′C. BrownMontrose
- 89′C. JohnstonMontrose
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ayr Utd have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2022 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Peterhead(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Clyde(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Dunfermline(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2022 | Morton(away) | 1-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2022 | Dundee(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Cove Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Montrose score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy