Montrose vs Ross County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose
The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Montrose. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montrose vs Ross County?
Ross County starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Ross County have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-5 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Montrose win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ross County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County 2-1 Montrose | League One |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Ross County 4-1 Montrose | League Cup |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Montrose 3-3 Ross County | League Cup |
| Jul 13, 2019 | Ross County 4-1 Montrose | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2017 | Montrose 0-6 Ross County | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ross County vs Montrose on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ross County score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Ross County | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montrose sit 8th in League One (3 points from 4 matches) and Ross County sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ross County | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Montrose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Ross County?
- The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Montrose.
- Where and when is Montrose vs Ross County played?
- Montrose vs Ross County is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.