Morecambe vs Notts County: result 4-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 7, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Morecambe vs Notts County?
Morecambe won 4-1 on January 7, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 2′Lee Robert MolyneuxMorecambe
- 27′P. MullinMorecambe
- 31′Michael RoseMorecambe (pen.)
- 80′J. ForteNotts County
- 90′Kevin Keith EllisonMorecambe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Notts County have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2017 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Dec 30, 2016 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Mansfield Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Cheltenham(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Dec 6, 2016 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2017 | Cambridge United(away) | 0-4 | League Two |
| Dec 31, 2016 | Carlisle(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Doncaster(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2016 | Peterborough(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Dec 17, 2016 | Colchester(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Morecambe win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Notts County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2016 | Notts County 1-2 Morecambe | League Two |
| Dec 28, 2015 | Notts County 2-2 Morecambe | League Two |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Morecambe 4-1 Notts County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Notts County vs Morecambe on Oct 11, 2016
How many goals should we expect?
Morecambe score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 0.8 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Notts County | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 52 | 80 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy