Morecambe vs Spalding United: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Spalding United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spalding United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morecambe vs Spalding United?
Spalding United starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,982 vs 1,803).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morecambe vs Spalding United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Spalding United
Not enough data to predict the Spalding United lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Spalding United have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southport(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alvechurch(home) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marine(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Morecambe score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Spalding United score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Spalding United | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morecambe sit 19th in National League - North (14 points from 11 matches) and Spalding United sit 9th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spalding United | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Morecambe vs Spalding United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Spalding United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spalding United the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Morecambe.
- Where and when is Morecambe vs Spalding United played?
- Morecambe vs Spalding United is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.