Morecambe vs Southport: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 35Kick-off on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Morecambe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morecambe vs Southport?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Morecambe (1,845) and Southport (1,823).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morecambe vs Southport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Southport
Not enough data to predict the Southport lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 04:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Southport have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Harborough Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Morecambe wins, 0 draws, 1 Southport win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morecambe 2-0 Southport | FA Cup |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Southport 2-1 Morecambe | National League - North |
| Jul 18, 2023 | Southport 1-3 Morecambe | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Morecambe vs Southport on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Morecambe score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Southport score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Southport | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morecambe sit 10th in National League - North (20 points from 13 matches) and Southport sit 23rd (10 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Morecambe | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
A question about Morecambe vs Southport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Southport?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Southport.
- Where and when is Morecambe vs Southport played?
- Morecambe vs Southport is played on February 23, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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