Southport vs Scarborough Athletic: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 36Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Scarborough Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southport vs Scarborough Athletic?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Southport (1,857) and Scarborough Athletic (1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Scarborough Athletic have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Southport win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Scarborough Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Southport 1-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 2-0 Southport | National League - North |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Southport 0-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Scarborough Athletic 1-2 Southport | National League - North |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Scarborough Athletic 0-1 Southport | National League - North |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Southport 3-1 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Southport vs Scarborough Athletic on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southport | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southport sit 11th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Scarborough Athletic sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Southport | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southport vs Scarborough Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Southport the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Scarborough Athletic.
- Where and when is Southport vs Scarborough Athletic played?
- Southport vs Scarborough Athletic is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.