Match

Moreirense U23 vs Penafiel U23: prediction and stats

Liga Revelação U23Matchday 12Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Moreirense U23Penafiel U23

The Footlab AI model makes Moreirense U23 the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Penafiel U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Moreirense U23 wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Moreirense U23 vs Penafiel U23?

On Elo ratings, Moreirense U23 has 1,702 points and Penafiel U23 1,669.

60%23%17%
Moreirense U23 winDrawPenafiel U23 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Moreirense U23 vs Penafiel U23

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Moreirense U23

Not enough data to predict the Moreirense U23 lineup.

Penafiel U23

Not enough data to predict the Penafiel U23 lineup.

Computed on November 12, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Moreirense U23 have 3 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Penafiel U23 have 2, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Moreirense U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2026Marítimo U23(away)0-1Liga Revelação U23
Oct 27, 2026Gil Vicente U23(home)2-0Liga Revelação U23
Oct 19, 2026Benfica U23(away)1-1Liga Revelação U23
Oct 13, 2026Santa Clara U23(home)7-0Liga Revelação U23
Oct 6, 2026Rio Ave U23(away)1-1Liga Revelação U23
Penafiel U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 4, 2026Famalicão U23(home)2-1Liga Revelação U23
Oct 27, 2026Vizela U23(home)2-3Liga Revelação U23
Oct 20, 2026Academico Viseu U23(away)0-0Liga Revelação U23
Oct 13, 2026Benfica U23(home)3-1Liga Revelação U23
Sep 29, 2026Rio Ave U23(away)0-1Liga Revelação U23

How many goals should we expect?

Moreirense U23 score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 11; Penafiel U23 score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Moreirense U231.81.037/115/11
Penafiel U231.51.518/116/11

Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Moreirense U23 sit 8th in Liga Revelação U23 (15 points from 11 matches) and Penafiel U23 sit 13th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Moreirense U2311362201115
13Penafiel U2311263161612

A question about Moreirense U23 vs Penafiel U23?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Moreirense U23 vs Penafiel U23?
The Footlab AI model makes Moreirense U23 the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Penafiel U23.
Where and when is Moreirense U23 vs Penafiel U23 played?
Moreirense U23 vs Penafiel U23 is played on November 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Revelação U23.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Moreirense U23 and Penafiel U23