Match

Penafiel U23 vs Estoril U23: prediction and stats

Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Penafiel U23Estoril U23

The Footlab AI model makes Estoril U23 the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Penafiel U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estoril U23 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Penafiel U23 vs Estoril U23?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Penafiel U23 (1,627) and Estoril U23 (1,673).

36%26%38%
Penafiel U23 winDrawEstoril U23 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Penafiel U23 vs Estoril U23

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Penafiel U23

Not enough data to predict the Penafiel U23 lineup.

Estoril U23

Not enough data to predict the Estoril U23 lineup.

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:05 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Penafiel U23 have 1 win, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Estoril U23 have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Penafiel U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Benfica U23(home)3-1Liga Revelação U23
Sep 29, 2026Rio Ave U23(away)0-1Liga Revelação U23
Sep 19, 2026Sporting CP U23(away)1-1Liga Revelação U23
Sep 15, 2026Santa Clara U23(home)0-1Liga Revelação U23
Sep 7, 2026Sporting Braga U23(away)3-3Liga Revelação U23
Estoril U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Sporting CP U23(home)1-0Liga Revelação U23
Oct 5, 2026Torreense U23(away)3-2Liga Revelação U23
Sep 22, 2026Academico Viseu U23(away)1-1Liga Revelação U23
Sep 8, 2026Famalicão U23(home)4-2Liga Revelação U23
Sep 1, 2026Felgueiras U23(away)2-2Liga Revelação U23

How many goals should we expect?

Penafiel U23 score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Estoril U23 score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Penafiel U231.51.506/84/8
Estoril U231.61.3311/156/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Penafiel U23 sit 15th in Liga Revelação U23 (8 points from 8 matches) and Estoril U23 sit 3rd (16 points from 8 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Estoril U238440171216
15Penafiel U23815212128

A question about Penafiel U23 vs Estoril U23?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Penafiel U23 vs Estoril U23?
The Footlab AI model makes Estoril U23 the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Penafiel U23.
Where and when is Penafiel U23 vs Estoril U23 played?
Penafiel U23 vs Estoril U23 is played on December 1, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Revelação U23.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Penafiel U23 and Estoril U23

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