Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23: prediction and stats
Liga Revelação U23Regular Season - 12Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
The Footlab AI model makes Estoril U23 the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Benfica U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estoril U23 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Estoril U23 (1,673) and Benfica U23 (1,711).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estoril U23
Not enough data to predict the Estoril U23 lineup.
Benfica U23
Not enough data to predict the Benfica U23 lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estoril U23 have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Benfica U23 have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sporting CP U23(home) | 1-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Torreense U23(away) | 3-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Academico Viseu U23(away) | 1-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Famalicão U23(home) | 4-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Felgueiras U23(away) | 2-2 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Penafiel U23(away) | 1-3 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Marítimo U23(away) | 3-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torreense U23(home) | 3-0 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | União Leiria U23(away) | 2-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Vizela U23(home) | 0-1 | Liga Revelação U23 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estoril U23 win, 1 draw, 4 Benfica U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | Benfica U23 1-0 Estoril U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Estoril U23 1-1 Benfica U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Benfica U23 4-1 Estoril U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Estoril U23 1-3 Benfica U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Estoril U23 4-3 Benfica U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Benfica U23 2-1 Estoril U23 | Liga Revelação U23 |
Last archived meeting: Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23 on Dec 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Estoril U23 score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica U23 score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril U23 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
| Benfica U23 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estoril U23 sit 3rd in Liga Revelação U23 (16 points from 8 matches) and Benfica U23 sit 12th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Estoril U23 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | Benfica U23 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estoril U23 the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Benfica U23.
- Where and when is Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23 played?
- Estoril U23 vs Benfica U23 is played on November 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, in the Liga Revelação U23.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 24, 2026Famalicão U23vsGil Vicente U23
- Nov 24, 2026Portimonense U23vsEstrela U23
- Nov 24, 2026Rio Ave U23vsUnião Leiria U23
- Nov 24, 2026Sporting Braga U23vsLeixões U23
- Nov 24, 2026Farense U23vsSporting CP U23
- Nov 24, 2026Santa Clara U23vsMarítimo U23
- Nov 24, 2026Torreense U23vsVizela U23
- Nov 24, 2026Felgueiras U23vsAcademico Viseu U23