Morocco vs Guinea: result 3-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 17, 2018 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès
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What was the result of Morocco vs Guinea?
Morocco won 3-1 on January 17, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 27′A. El KaabiMorocco
- 28′Saïdouba Bissiri CamaraGuinea
- 64′A. El KaabiMorocco
- 68′A. El KaabiMorocco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morocco have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Guinea have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | Mauritania(home) | 4-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Ivory Coast(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 10, 2017 | South Korea(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Gabon(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2017 | Mali(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | Sudan(home) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Congo DR(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Tunisia(home) | 1-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 4, 2017 | Libya(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Aug 31, 2017 | Libya(home) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Morocco score 2.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guinea score 2.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 2.0 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Guinea | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morocco sit 2nd in African Nations Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Guinea sit 4th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Guinea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy