Rwanda vs Equatorial Guinea: result 1-0 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 19, 2018 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Stade Amahoro, Kigali
Full time
What was the result of Rwanda vs Equatorial Guinea?
Rwanda won 1-0 on January 19, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 67′Thierry ManziRwanda
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rwanda have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Equatorial Guinea have 4, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | Nigeria(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 7, 2017 | Libya(home) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 5, 2017 | Zanzibar(away) | 1-3 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Kenya(away) | 0-2 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2018 | Libya(away) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 9, 2017 | Mauritius(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Benin(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Senegal(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Morocco(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Rwanda score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Equatorial Guinea score 0.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rwanda | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy