Morocco vs Libya: result 3-1 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipSemi-finalsKick-off on January 31, 2018 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de Fès, Fès
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What was the result of Morocco vs Libya?
Morocco won 3-1 on January 31, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 73′A. El KaabiMorocco
- 86′Abdulrahman Ramadhan khalleefahLibya
- 97′A. El KaabiMorocco
- 118′W. El KartiMorocco (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morocco have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Libya have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2018 | Namibia(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 21, 2018 | Sudan(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 17, 2018 | Guinea(home) | 3-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Mauritania(home) | 4-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Ivory Coast(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2018 | Congo(away) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2018 | Rwanda(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2018 | Nigeria(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 15, 2018 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Dec 25, 2017 | Jordan(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Morocco win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Libya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2015 | Libya 0-4 Morocco | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 20, 2015 | Morocco 3-0 Libya | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Morocco score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Libya score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 2.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Libya | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Morocco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy