Morrinhos vs Tupy FC: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 9Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Centro Esportivo João Vilela, Morrinhos, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Morrinhos the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Tupy FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morrinhos vs Tupy FC?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Morrinhos (1,606) and Tupy FC (1,662).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morrinhos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tupy FC have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rio Verde(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goiânia(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 3-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Goiânia(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Morrinhos win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tupy FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2025 | Morrinhos 0-1 Tupy FC | Goiano - 2 |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Tupy FC 0-0 Morrinhos | Goiano - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Morrinhos score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Tupy FC score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morrinhos | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tupy FC | 0.7 | 0.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morrinhos sit 4th in Goiano - 2 (13 points from 7 matches) and Tupy FC sit 5th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Morrinhos | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Tupy FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morrinhos vs Tupy FC?
- The Footlab model makes Morrinhos the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Tupy FC.
- Where and when is Morrinhos vs Tupy FC played?
- Morrinhos vs Tupy FC is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Centro Esportivo João Vilela, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.