Morrinhos vs Goianésia: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 10Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Centro Esportivo João Vilela, Morrinhos, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Morrinhos the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Goianésia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morrinhos vs Goianésia?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Morrinhos (1,605) and Goianésia (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morrinhos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Goianésia have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rio Verde(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goiânia(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 3-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trindade(home) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rio Verde(away) | 0-3 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tupy FC(home) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Morrinhos win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Goianésia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Goianésia 2-1 Morrinhos | Goiano - 2 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Morrinhos 0-1 Goianésia | Goiano - 1 |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Goianésia 2-1 Morrinhos | Goiano - 1 |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Morrinhos 0-0 Goianésia | Goiano - 1 |
| Jan 30, 2022 | Goianésia 2-0 Morrinhos | Goiano - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Goianésia vs Morrinhos on Aug 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Morrinhos score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Goianésia score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morrinhos | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Goianésia | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morrinhos sit 4th in Goiano - 2 (13 points from 7 matches) and Goianésia sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goianésia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Morrinhos | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morrinhos vs Goianésia?
- The Footlab model makes Morrinhos the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Goianésia.
- Where and when is Morrinhos vs Goianésia played?
- Morrinhos vs Goianésia is played on September 6, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Centro Esportivo João Vilela, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.