Mosconia vs Colunga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, Grado, Asturias
The Footlab AI model makes Mosconia the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Colunga. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosconia vs Colunga?
Mosconia starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mosconia vs Colunga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mosconia
Not enough data to predict the Mosconia lineup.
Colunga
Not enough data to predict the Colunga lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosconia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Colunga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Astur(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Andes(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Condal(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 5-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mosconia wins, 0 draws, 4 Colunga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Colunga 1-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Mosconia 2-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Colunga 1-2 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Mosconia 0-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Mosconia 0-4 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Colunga 2-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mosconia score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Colunga score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosconia | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Colunga | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosconia sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 6 matches) and Colunga sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mosconia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Colunga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Mosconia vs Colunga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosconia vs Colunga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mosconia the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Colunga.
- Where and when is Mosconia vs Colunga played?
- Mosconia vs Colunga is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.