Mosconia vs Colunga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, Grado, Asturias
The Footlab model makes Mosconia the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Colunga. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosconia vs Colunga?
Mosconia starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,777 vs 1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosconia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Colunga have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 17, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Navarro(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 2-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lenense(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Martín(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mosconia win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Colunga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Colunga 1-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Mosconia 2-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Colunga 1-2 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Mosconia 0-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Mosconia 0-4 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Colunga 2-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mosconia score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colunga score 1.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosconia | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Colunga | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosconia sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (56 points from 34 matches) and Colunga sit 11th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 27 | 56 |
| 11 | Colunga | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 56 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosconia vs Colunga?
- The Footlab model makes Mosconia the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Colunga.
- Where and when is Mosconia vs Colunga played?
- Mosconia vs Colunga is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.