Colunga vs Gijón Industrial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santianes, Colunga
The Footlab AI model makes Colunga the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colunga wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colunga vs Gijón Industrial?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Colunga (1,698) and Gijón Industrial (1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colunga vs Gijón Industrial
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colunga
Not enough data to predict the Colunga lineup.
Gijón Industrial
4-3-3- AAdrián Rueda Colunga
- JJosé Naya
- DDiego Sánchez
- BBorja López Prieto
- BBabafemo Fofana
- SSanti Otero
- PPablo Bango
- JJuan Runza
- JJoaquin Flórez
- JJ. Korbla
- DDiego García Bravo
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colunga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Gijón Industrial have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 5-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Andes(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Condal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Llanes(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Colunga wins, 2 draws, 1 Gijón Industrial win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Gijón Industrial 6-2 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Colunga 1-1 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Colunga 3-2 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Gijón Industrial 1-3 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Gijón Industrial 1-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Colunga 1-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gijón Industrial vs Colunga on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colunga score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gijón Industrial score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colunga | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Gijón Industrial | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colunga sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (11 points from 6 matches) and Gijón Industrial sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colunga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Gijón Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Colunga vs Gijón Industrial?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colunga vs Gijón Industrial?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colunga the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Colunga vs Gijón Industrial played?
- Colunga vs Gijón Industrial is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santianes, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.