Colunga vs Gijón Industrial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santianes, Colunga
The Footlab model makes Colunga the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colunga vs Gijón Industrial?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Colunga (1,660) and Gijón Industrial (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colunga have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gijón Industrial have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(away) | 2-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lenense(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Martín(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Colunga(home) | 6-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Siero(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Colunga win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gijón Industrial win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Gijón Industrial 6-2 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Colunga 1-1 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Colunga 3-2 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Gijón Industrial 1-3 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Gijón Industrial 1-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Colunga 1-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gijón Industrial vs Colunga on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colunga score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gijón Industrial score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colunga | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gijón Industrial | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colunga sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (40 points from 34 matches) and Gijón Industrial sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Colunga | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 56 | 40 |
| 14 | Gijón Industrial | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 57 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colunga vs Gijón Industrial?
- The Footlab model makes Colunga the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Colunga vs Gijón Industrial played?
- Colunga vs Gijón Industrial is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santianes, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.