Gijón Industrial vs Caudal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Cruz, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 1-1. If Caudal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,782 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Caudal?
Caudal starts as the favourite with a 245-point Elo edge (1,921 vs 1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gijón Industrial vs Caudal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gijón Industrial
4-3-3- AAdrián Rueda Colunga
- JJosé Naya
- DDiego Sánchez
- BBorja López Prieto
- BBabafemo Fofana
- SSanti Otero
- PPablo Bango
- JJuan Runza
- JJoaquin Flórez
- JJ. Korbla
- DDiego García Bravo
Caudal
Not enough data to predict the Caudal lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 11:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gijón Industrial have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Caudal have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Andes(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Condal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gijón Industrial win, 3 draws, 2 Caudal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caudal 4-1 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Gijón Industrial 1-1 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Caudal 1-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Gijón Industrial 1-1 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Gijón Industrial 2-0 Caudal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Caudal 0-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Caudal vs Gijón Industrial on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gijón Industrial score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Caudal score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gijón Industrial | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Caudal | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gijón Industrial sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (11 points from 7 matches) and Caudal sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Caudal | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 |
| 10 | Gijón Industrial | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
A question about Gijón Industrial vs Caudal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gijón Industrial vs Caudal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caudal the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Gijón Industrial vs Caudal played?
- Gijón Industrial vs Caudal is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Cruz, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.