Mozambique vs Libya: result 3-2 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 17, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional do Zimpeto, Maputo
Full time
What was the result of Mozambique vs Libya?
Mozambique won 3-2 on January 17, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 23′Francisco Lopes Albino MuchangaLibya (o.g.)
- 74′Melque Melito Alexandre GarciaMozambique
- 80′Feliciano João JoneMozambique
- 84′Lau KingMozambique
- 90′Anis SaltouLibya
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mozambique have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Libya have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 17, 2022 | South Africa(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Senegal(home) | 1-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 15, 2022 | Namibia(away) | 0-1 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 13, 2022 | South Africa(away) | 0-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | Algeria(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 27, 2022 | Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 21, 2022 | Uganda(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Botswana(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Mozambique score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Libya score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mozambique | 0.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Libya | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy