Morocco vs Madagascar: prediction and stats
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 19, 2023 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Mohamed-Hamlaoui, Constantine
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morocco have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Madagascar have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Dec 14, 2022 | France(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Dec 10, 2022 | Portugal(home) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Spain(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Dec 1, 2022 | Canada(away) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2023 | Ghana(home) | 2-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 15, 2022 | South Africa(home) | 1-2 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2022 | Namibia(home) | 0-2 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Angola(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 1, 2022 | Ghana(away) | 0-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Morocco score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco | 1.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Madagascar | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morocco sit 2nd in African Nations Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Madagascar sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MoroccoGroup A | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | MadagascarGroup B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy