Mozambique vs Uganda: result 3-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on March 20, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional do Zimpeto, Maputo
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What was the result of Mozambique vs Uganda?
Mozambique won 3-1 on March 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 3′554099Mozambique
- 7′Muhammad Shaban JagasonUganda
- 16′554099Mozambique
- 45′Stanley RatifoMozambique
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mozambique have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Uganda have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | Zambia(home) | 0-3 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Guinea-Bissau(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Mali(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Eswatini(away) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Eswatini(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | Burundi(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Burundi(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Congo(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2024 | South Africa(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 15, 2024 | South Sudan(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Mozambique score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mozambique | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Uganda | 1.2 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mozambique sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification Africa (18 points from 10 matches) and Uganda sit 2nd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uganda | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 18 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy