Zambia vs Eritrea: prediction and stats
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on March 17, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Eritrea have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | Mozambique(away) | 3-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Sierra Leone(away) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Ivory Coast(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Chad(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Chad(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2020 | Sudan(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 19, 2019 | Uganda(away) | 0-3 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 17, 2019 | Kenya(away) | 4-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Somalia(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 13, 2019 | Djibouti(away) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Eritrea score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Eritrea | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zambia | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Zambia vs Eritrea?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy