Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 8Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Mpam the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Iraklis Therm.. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mpam wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
On Elo ratings, Mpam has 1,591 points and Iraklis Therm. 1,707.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mpam
Not enough data to predict the Mpam lineup.
Iraklis Therm.
Not enough data to predict the Iraklis Therm. lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Mpam have 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats; Iraklis Therm. have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Akrites Sykeon(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(home) | 3-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Panedessaikos(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | PAO Kristoni(away) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Panedessaikos(home) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Agiou Nikolaou(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mpam score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 3; Iraklis Therm. score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mpam | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 3/3 | 2/3 |
| Iraklis Therm. | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
A question about Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mpam vs Iraklis Therm.?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mpam the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Iraklis Therm..
- Where and when is Mpam vs Iraklis Therm. played?
- Mpam vs Iraklis Therm. is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.