Match

Mpam vs Makedonikos Neapolis: prediction and stats

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2Group 2 - 5Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

MpamMakedonikos Neapolis

The Footlab model makes Mpam the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Makedonikos Neapolis. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mpam vs Makedonikos Neapolis?

Mpam win70 %
Draw19 %
Makedonikos Neapolis win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Mpam have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Makedonikos Neapolis have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Makedonikos Neapolis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026PAOK II(away)1-3Super League 2
Apr 22, 2026Kavala(away)1-5Super League 2
Apr 18, 2026Kampaniakos Chalastra(home)4-3Super League 2
Apr 8, 2026Nestos Chrisoupolis(home)0-2Super League 2
Apr 5, 2026PAS Giannina(away)2-2Super League 2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mpam vs Makedonikos Neapolis?
The Footlab model makes Mpam the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Makedonikos Neapolis.
Where and when is Mpam vs Makedonikos Neapolis played?
Mpam vs Makedonikos Neapolis is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mpam and Makedonikos Neapolis

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